Will at least one major DeFi stablecoin (non-USDC/USDT) lose its peg significantly (>5%) in the next 6 months?

Algorithmic and collateralized stablecoins (DAI, GHO, USDe) remain fragile under stress. Peg loss often cascades via liquidation spirals. A >5% depeg would hurt confidence, cause DeFi liquidity drains, and force protocols to tighten collateral rules. History (e.g. UST) shows risk is real, though major players now over-collateralize.

failures

Current: 45%0%

Probability Trends

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